Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 78% and climbing; Russia/Ukraine is today's biggest move (+24 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Russia/Ukraine
moved higher · Russia/Ukraine is at 61% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Drone and missile…
Latin America
moved higher · Latin America is at 50% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: Brazil: Lula, Bol…
East Asia
moved higher · East Asia is at 53% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Trump says US to ‘subst…
Europe
cooled · Europe is at 31% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: How Germany supports recovery…
South Asia
moved higher · South Asia is at 32% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: India sets targets for…
Social OSINT (X)
BBC World
Social OSINT (X)
Financial Times
Financial Times
Social Signals (YouTube)