Today’s risk read
Russia/Ukraine leads at 65% and climbing; Middle East is today's biggest move (-15 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Middle East
cooled · Middle East is at 60% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Fact-checking Trump’…
Russia/Ukraine
moved higher · Russia/Ukraine is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Zelensky accuses…
East Asia
moved higher · East Asia is at 45% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Will Xi and Trump find…
Sub-Saharan Africa
cooled · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 49% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Why new war i…
Latin America
moved higher · Latin America is at 46% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: KNPC Prepares to Me…
Al Jazeera
Social OSINT (X)
Social OSINT (X)
Arab News
Premium Times Nigeria
SCMP
Premium Times Nigeria