Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 80% and climbing; Latin America is today's biggest move (+18 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Latin America
moved higher · Latin America is at 60% risk (buildup). Top story theme: naval blockade. Lead: Cuba works t…
Russia/Ukraine
cooled · Russia/Ukraine is at 48% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: German-Russian rel…
North America
cooled · North America is at 44% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Greenland Deal: Gre…
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 56% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: Deputy Senat…
Middle East
moved higher · Middle East is at 80% risk (high risk). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Houthis say they t…
Crisis Group Africa
Indian Express
BBC World