Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 80% and climbing; South Asia is today's biggest move (+21 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
South Asia
moved higher · South Asia is at 41% risk (buildup). That’s 11 points lower than the last update. Top story…
Europe
moved higher · Europe is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: NATO jet shoots down suspe…
Sub-Saharan Africa
cooled · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 54% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Russian war,…
North America
moved higher · North America is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: Five takeaways fr…
East Asia
moved higher · East Asia is at 45% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: China projecting image…
Le Monde International (FR)
Al Jazeera
The Hindu
Social OSINT (X)
Japan Times
Times of India
France 24