Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 78% and climbing; Latin America is today's biggest move (+33 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Latin America
moved higher · Latin America is at 62% risk (buildup). Top story theme: coup instability. Lead: On the Gro…
South Asia
cooled · South Asia is at 20% risk (calm). Top story theme: diplomatic. Lead: Tea, hugs, handshakes:…
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 63% risk (buildup). Top story theme: energy. Lead: UNICEF reaches…
Russia/Ukraine
cooled · Russia/Ukraine is at 48% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Russian strike on…
Europe
moved higher · Europe is at 55% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: How will EU respond to Rus…
Social OSINT (X)
Social OSINT (X)
Times of India
Premium Times Nigeria
Le Monde International (FR)
Al Jazeera