Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 79% and climbing; Sub-Saharan Africa is today's biggest move (+17 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 59% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: JNIM, FLA Alli…
Russia/Ukraine
moved higher · Russia/Ukraine is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Police bodycam ca…
South Asia
moved higher · South Asia is at 33% risk (calm). Top story theme: energy. Lead: 'Illegal’: Kremlin blasts…
East Asia
moved higher · East Asia is at 36% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Australian group calls…
North America
moved higher · North America is at 61% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: WASHINGTON (AP) -…
BBC World
Social OSINT (X)
Japan Times
France 24
Social Signals (YouTube)