Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 77% and easing; Sub-Saharan Africa is today's biggest move (+22 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: coup instability. Lead: FG re…
North America
moved higher · North America is at 45% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Can Hichilema heal…
Russia/Ukraine
cooled · Russia/Ukraine is at 48% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: 'This Conflict Wi…
Europe
cooled · Europe is at 54% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: UN's Sudan probe says for…
Latin America
cooled · Latin America is at 47% risk (buildup). Top story theme: energy. Lead: As Colombia slowly i…
Social OSINT (X)
Social Signals (Reddit /r/geopolitics)
Al Jazeera
Social OSINT (X)
BBC World
Social Signals (Reddit /r/geopolitics)
Social Signals (YouTube)