Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 70% and easing; Sub-Saharan Africa is today's biggest move (+20 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 64% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: ISWAP Claims…
Russia/Ukraine
cooled · Russia/Ukraine is at 49% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Russia's NORSI re…
East Asia
cooled · East Asia is at 26% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: India, China can help reso…
Europe
moved higher · Europe is at 43% risk (buildup). That’s 8 points higher than the last update. Top story the…
South Asia
cooled · South Asia is at 25% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: 'Conflict of interest sit…
Times of India
Premium Times Nigeria
Social OSINT (X)
Premium Times Nigeria
Social OSINT (X)
Premium Times Nigeria