Today’s risk read
Russia/Ukraine leads at 65% and holding; Latin America is today's biggest move (-18 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Latin America
cooled · Latin America is at 41% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: US Secretary of Wa…
South Asia
cooled · South Asia is at 20% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: What happened to Musharra…
Sub-Saharan Africa
moved higher · Sub-Saharan Africa is at 55% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: South Sudan of…
North America
moved higher · North America is at 32% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: British PM Burnham dup…
East Asia
cooled · East Asia is at 52% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Why did Trump scale bac…
Social OSINT (X)
Social OSINT (X)
Premium Times Nigeria
Premium Times Nigeria
Social Signals (Reddit /r/geopolitics)
Africa/Sahel Crisis Monitor