Archived brief · 2026-08-13 — a snapshot of how the board read that day.
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Daily Flashpoint Brief · Thursday, Aug 13, 2026 · 23:59 UTC
Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 76% and holding; South Asia is today's biggest move (+11 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
AVG RISK48%
HIGH RISK1
EVENTS 24H171
SOURCES54
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
Markets Today
OIL
▲
Middle East
DEFENSE
▲
Middle East
FX
VOL
Middle East
CRYPTO
▲
Middle East
At A Glance
Top Regions
What Changed · Last 24h
South Asia
moved higher · South Asia is at 32% risk (calm). Top story theme: general. Lead: US tariff threat on Russi…
Russia/Ukraine
cooled · Russia/Ukraine is at 42% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Russia-Ukraine wa…
Latin America
moved higher · Latin America is at 65% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: On the Radar: Car…
North America
cooled · North America is at 54% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP…
Europe
moved higher · Europe is at 32% risk (buildup). Top story theme: conflict. Lead: Presidential pardon for F…
Latest Signal Drivers
23:13
Social OSINT (X)
The US military has lost at least 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones during the war with Iran, roughly a quarter of its…
Social OSINT (X)
23:04
Africa/Sahel Crisis Monitor
Sudan Army Repels Major RSF Attack on Jabrat al-Shaikh - Sudan Tribune
Africa/Sahel Crisis Monitor
22:45
Social OSINT (X)
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi blamed US-Israeli military action for oil pollution on Qe…
Social OSINT (X)
22:35
Premium Times Nigeria
OsunDecides2026: APM candidate withdraws from governorship race, endorses Adeleke
Premium Times Nigeria
21:44
Premium Times Nigeria
Most child sexual abuses involve fathers, daughters — Edo govt
Premium Times Nigeria
All Region Pages
Middle East
76%Structural Conflictflat
Latin America
65%Escalation Risk+7 pts
North America
54%Escalation Risk-5 pts
Sub-Saharan Africa
53%Escalation Risk+3 pts
Russia/Ukraine
42%Escalation Risk-10 pts
East Asia
32%Escalation Risk-2 pts
South Asia
32%Low Conflict / Calm+11 pts
Europe
32%Escalation Risk+4 pts