Today’s risk read
Middle East leads at 78% and climbing; North America is today's biggest move (+25 pts/24h). No region in high risk — broad market sensitivity across oil, defense, fx.
17 institutional / 30 regional / 7 social · Model 2026.1-adaptive
North America
moved higher · North America is at 58% risk (buildup). That’s 11 points higher than the last update. Top s…
Europe
moved higher · Europe is at 62% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: As Cuba's power crisis d…
Latin America
cooled · Latin America is at 42% risk (buildup). Top story theme: political. Lead: El Makabelico and…
East Asia
moved higher · East Asia is at 39% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Trump builds a new U.S.…
South Asia
moved higher · South Asia is at 50% risk (buildup). Top story theme: general. Lead: Besides “restoration o…
Social OSINT (X)
Social OSINT (X)
AP
Al Jazeera
Social OSINT (X)
Social OSINT (X)
Social Signals (YouTube)